Thursday, February 24, 2011

To avoid a bigger war: Please be and stay sober

PLEASE BE AND STAY SOBER

With some 15,000 troupes from each side amassed around Cambodia’s Preah Vihear Temple, things could go wrong at the frontlines and the fighting could quickly escalate into a “bigger war” of which, according to some reports, Thailand has been preparing to battle.
Hopefully, Cambodia will be able to handle such a large scale fight on its own without dragging Vietnam and Laos to get involved.  With all things considered, Thailand (with 300,000 combatants and a military budget of some $5 Billions) is far superior to Cambodia.  If the fight is brief and concise Thailand may have the advantage. However, if the war is long and protracted, the outcome of the war will be like when Vietnam invaded Cambodia in the 80’s and 90’s. Thousands body bags of dead Thai soldiers will be shipped back home in disgrace.

The fight will probably split ASEAN into pieces as Vietnam, Laos and Cambodia may have some forms of friendship agreements—like an agreement which states that “if one country is attacked, all country is under attack.”
The Indochinese Federation in disguise would be on one side and the original members or the “Founding Fathers” of ASEAN would be on the other side and Cambodia would be the battle ground all over again.
The suppliers of weapons and military goods will be the Americans and the Chinese as the sales of weapons will impact economic growth in America and China.  
Let’s hope and pray that some soldiers at the frontlines won’t step on a landmine or get drunk with white rice liquor, Singha beer or Angkor Beer.  
To PM Abhisit Vijjajiva, PM Hun Sen, Dr. Marty Natalegawat as well as all Thai and Cambodian soldiers at the frontlines, please be and stay sober.

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